NFL Picks & Predictions
Model-driven NFL picks, posted before kickoff and graded on a public, hash-chained ledger you can check yourself. Selective by design: a handful of games a week, never the whole slate.
Recent results
Graded in public, wins and losses alike.
NFL results post here as each game settles.
What we publish for the NFL
NFL picks cover the spread, the total and, now and then, the moneyline. Each one names the side, the number it was taken at and the kickoff time, and it goes on the public ledger the moment it is published. Nothing is added after a game starts and nothing is removed once it settles.
Timing varies by pick. Some are posted early in the week, when the first numbers go up. Others arrive on game day, and a few land shortly before kickoff, including for Thursday, Sunday and Monday night games. Whatever the timing, the pick and its number are on the record before the game is played.
Most weeks, most games get no pick at all. A service with a call on every game is not choosing anything, and a quiet week on our ledger is an honest answer rather than a gap.
How the NFL research was done
Every idea we considered for football was tested across more than a decade of real prices, the numbers that were actually available at the time, rather than idealised ones. Ideas that only worked in a few seasons, or only against a price nobody could have taken, were dropped. Most ideas fail that test, and the ones that pass are what reaches the ledger.
We also look hard at every idea's bad years, not just its average, and at whether it held up in seasons it was never tuned on. An average can hide a collapse, and the ledger shows every season, the bad ones included.
How NFL picks are graded
Each pick is graded from the official final score against the exact number it was published at. A spread or total that lands exactly on the number is a push and counts as neither a win nor a loss. The result is written to the ledger with its own timestamp, next to the original pick.
Occasionally something a pick was based on changes before kickoff. When that happens we withdraw the pick in the open: it stays visible on the ledger, clearly marked as withdrawn, and it is never counted as a win or a loss. We would rather show a withdrawal than quietly let a pick ride on a premise that no longer holds.
Why the record can be trusted
Every entry on the ledger carries a cryptographic hash of the entry before it, so the whole record forms a chain. Change any past pick or result and every hash after it stops matching, which anyone can check from the ledger page. The database itself refuses edits and deletions.
That is the whole pitch: we publish before the game, we grade after it, and we cannot tidy up the history. Judge us on that record.
Questions
Are your NFL picks free?
Creating an account is free, and every settled NFL pick stays on the public ledger for anyone to check. Picks for today and upcoming games come with the NFL ledger plan, one sport at a time and cancel anytime. The plans page has the details.
When are NFL picks posted?
It depends on the pick. Some go up early in the week, some on game day and a few shortly before kickoff, including night games. Every one is on the public ledger before the game starts.
Which NFL markets do you cover?
Spreads and totals, with the occasional moneyline. Each pick shows the side and the exact number it was taken at.
How many NFL picks are there each week?
Usually only a few. Some weeks have none. We publish when something qualifies, not to fill a slate.
Do you cover Thursday, Sunday and Monday night games?
Yes. Night games are covered like any other, and when a pick qualifies it is published before kickoff with the same grading and the same public record.
What happens if a pick is withdrawn?
It stays on the ledger, marked as withdrawn before the game, and it is never counted as a win or a loss. A withdrawal is shown, never hidden.
How do I know your NFL record is real?
Every pick is written to a public, hash-chained ledger before kickoff and settled in the open afterward, wins and losses in the same font size. Change any past result and the chain visibly breaks.
Do you publish every NFL pick you make?
Every pick on the public NFL plan goes on the public ledger. Our research desk also runs a separate book, Advanced Strategies, with its own public settled record.
Check the public record first, then unlock the NFL picks still to play. Every one is posted before kickoff and graded after the final.
Informational only, not financial advice. Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees, and historical results do not promise future ones. 21+. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.