MLS Picks & Predictions
Free, model-driven MLS picks for every match — published before kickoff and settled on a public, hash-chained ledger you can verify. No deleted losses, no back-dating: our real Major League Soccer record, in the open.
Recent MLS results
Graded on the public ledger — wins and losses alike.
Fresh MLS results post here after each matchday settles.
How our MLS predictions work
Major League Soccer is a notoriously hard market to price — long travel, congested schedules, and roster churn make it noisy, and the public leans heavily on home teams. Our MLS model estimates the probability of each result from underlying attacking and defensive ratings, home-and-away splits, rest and travel, and recent form, then holds that number up against the live price on the 3-way (win / draw / loss) market. When the model sees more probability than the price implies, that's an edge — and only then do we post a pick.
Our strongest, multi-season-validated MLS edge is on away sides the market underprices. MLS home-field advantage is real but systematically overrated by the price, which leaves value on the road team more often than the public expects. We also take high-value longshots the model rates well above their odds — the profit there comes from payout asymmetry, so expect streaky results and losses we never hide. Every MLS pick shows the model probability and the market price side by side, so you can judge the value yourself.
Why trust an MLS pick from us
Most MLS picks services show you winning screenshots and quietly delete the misses. We do the opposite: every MLS pick is timestamped and hashed to a public ledger before kickoff, then settled in the open. Change any past result and the hash chain visibly breaks — the database won't even allow it. If a week goes 2–5, the ledger says 2–5. That verifiable record is the only thing we're asking you to judge us on.
MLS picks FAQ
Are your MLS picks free?
Yes. During our free beta, members get every MLS pick with full model numbers, no card required. Our settled MLS record is public to everyone on the ledger.
When are MLS picks posted?
Each MLS pick is published about 30 minutes before kickoff, so the price is fresh, and it's timestamped to our public ledger before the market locks.
How does your MLS model make predictions?
Our MLS model weighs each side's underlying attacking and defensive ratings, home-and-away splits, rest and travel, and recent form, then compares its projected win probability to the live market price on the 3-way market. If there's no edge over the price, we post no pick.
Which MLS bets do you pick?
Primarily moneyline — with a validated lean toward away sides the market underprices, because MLS home-field advantage is systematically overrated — plus high-value longshots the model rates well above their price. Every pick shows the model's number against the market's.
How do I know your MLS record is real?
Every pick is written to a public, hash-chained ledger before the match and settled in the open afterward — wins and losses in the same font size. You can verify the entire record yourself; nothing is deleted or back-dated.
Join the free beta and get every MLS pick, every match — with the full model numbers and a public record you can check yourself.
Informational only — not financial advice. Model probabilities are estimates, not predictions of outcomes. 21+. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.