NBA Picks & Predictions
Model-driven NBA picks, starting with the preseason, posted before they play and graded on a public, hash-chained ledger you can verify. No deleted losses, no back-dating.
Recent results
Graded in public, wins and losses alike.
NBA results post here as each night's games settle, starting with the preseason in October.
What we publish for the NBA
NBA picks cover spreads and totals. Most are posted on the morning of game day, at the number available then. A few are made at halftime on the full-game total and published at the break, before the second half is played. Every one carries its own timestamp on the public ledger.
Our NBA picks begin with the preseason. Exhibition games are priced by the same market that prices the regular season, and it does not always read them well, so the preseason is part of the season for us rather than a warm-up.
How the NBA research was done
The NBA work started from the same place as every sport on this site: years of real prices, every game graded at the number that was actually available, and every idea checked season by season with the bad years in view. Where we could, we set a rule's details down first and only then looked at the seasons it had never seen.
Most of what we tested did not survive, and it is not here. The research carries on through the regular season, and anything new earns its place the same way.
How to read an NBA pick
A spread pick names a team and a number, like Philadelphia plus 6. It wins if that team wins outright or loses by fewer than 6 points. A total pick names under or over and a number, and it is settled on the two teams' combined points at the final buzzer, overtime included.
A halftime pick is still a full-game pick. It is made at the break on the whole game's total, with the first half already known, and it is published before the second half starts.
How NBA picks are graded
Each pick is graded from the official final score against the exact number it was published at. A result exactly on the number is a push and counts as neither a win nor a loss. The result is written to the ledger next to the original pick.
Why the record can be trusted
Every ledger entry carries a cryptographic hash of the one before it. Change any past pick or result and the chain visibly breaks, and the database refuses edits and deletions outright. That verifiable record is the only thing we ask to be judged on.
Questions
Are your NBA picks free?
Creating an account is free, and every settled NBA pick stays on the public ledger for anyone to check. NBA picks still to play come with the NBA ledger plan; see the plans page.
When are NBA picks posted?
Most are posted on the morning of game day. A few are made at halftime on the full-game total and published at the break, before the second half plays. Every one is timestamped to the public ledger first.
Do you cover the NBA preseason?
Yes. Our NBA picks start with the preseason in October and carry on from there.
Which NBA markets do you cover?
Spreads and totals on the public ledger. The research desk's own NBA positions, including moneylines, run inside Advanced Strategies.
What is a halftime pick?
A call on the full-game total made during the halftime break, before the second half plays. It is published and timestamped at the break, like any other pick.
How do I know your NBA record is real?
Every pick is written to a public, hash-chained ledger before it plays and settled in the open afterward, wins and losses in the same font size. You can verify the entire record yourself.
Check the public NBA record first. The picks still to play are on the NBA ledger plan, and the settled record stays free for everyone.
Informational only, not financial advice. Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees, and historical results do not promise future ones. 21+. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER.