No. 13 St. John's (2-0) hosts Colgate (0-2) on Wednesday, November 11, 2026, at 7:00 p.m. at Carnesecca Arena in Queens, New York. The game streams on Peacock, with Ed Cohen and Tarik Turner on the call. The Red Storm are the reigning Big East Tournament champions. The Raiders are still looking for their first win. The pick is about the combined score, not the margin.
The call
Under 153.0 (total), Colgate Raiders @ St. John's Red Storm. The line is 153.
To cash, the two teams must combine for 152 points or fewer. A final of 153 is a push, and 154 or more is a loss. In practical terms, the pick needs St. John's to stay out of the 90s, or Colgate to stay well below its usual offensive output if the Red Storm do get there. A comfortable home win in the low 80s against a visitor held to the 60s fits the number.
The one verified head-to-head reference point supports that shape of game. St. John's won the only listed prior meeting 82-64, a total of 146 points. That game came in 6 points under 153 and 13.5 points under its own closing total of 159.5. The year of that December 12 meeting is not shown, so it says little about current personnel. It does show that this matchup has produced a controlled, one-sided game rather than a track meet.
The matchup
Form. St. John's is 2-0 and Colgate is 0-2. We could not confirm the scores or opponents from those four games, so we draw no pace or efficiency conclusions from them. The records establish only that the home side arrives in a winning rhythm and the visitor does not.
Program context. The Red Storm's 2025-26 season set a high bar: 18-2 in Big East play, the 2026 Big East Tournament title, and the league's automatic NCAA Tournament bid. Zuby Ejiofor was named tournament MVP. That profile points to a team that can control a game against a mid-major on its home floor. Control does not always mean a high score. A team that leads by 20 in the second half often slows down, and rotations widen.
Personnel. Babacar Sane is active for St. John's. We found no verified injury news for Colgate. Neither side has a confirmed absence that would clearly push the total in either direction.
Game script. The likely script is a St. John's lead that grows through the first half. The question for this total is what happens after that. If the Red Storm take their foot off the gas and the final minutes are played by reserves, possessions tend to get sloppier and less efficient. That is a friendly environment for an Under. A Colgate team at 0-2 also has an incentive to shorten the game and limit transition chances against a more athletic opponent.
The case against
This pick has real failure paths, and they are stated plainly here.
- St. John's runs up the score. A top-15 home favorite against a winless visitor can reach the 90s through turnovers and transition points alone. If the Red Storm score 90 or more, Colgate needs only 63 or more for this to lose. That is the single most direct threat. - Small early sample. Two games apiece is not enough to establish pace or shooting levels. Early-season shooting is volatile, and one hot stretch from three can move a total by double digits. - Late-game fouling and bench scoring. Lopsided games sometimes produce free-throw-heavy final minutes and loose bench play that inflates the total rather than suppressing it. - The prior meeting is dated. The 146-point result comes from a December game in an unconfirmed year, with different rosters. It is context, not evidence about these two teams in November 2026. - Colgate's offense is unknown here. Without verified scores from its first two games, we cannot rule out a Raiders team that scores efficiently even while losing.
Any of these outcomes can beat the pick, and a loss on this number would be logged on our public ledger like every other result.
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