The board for 2026-08-21 is settled: four predictions, three correct, one missed. The two MLB calls landed as the model read them, and the WNBA slate split evenly, one cover and one clear loss. Below is the record as it stands on the ledger, written straight.
The board
- MLB, NYY moneyline vs. Toronto at New York. Model 85%. Result: WIN. The favorite held serve at home. - MLB, LAD moneyline vs. Pittsburgh at Los Angeles. Model 80%. Result: WIN. The second of the two strongest reads on the card also came in. - WNBA, Chicago Sky +6.5 vs. Golden State Valkyries at Chicago. Result: WIN, final margin 3. The Sky stayed inside the number and covered by 3.5. - WNBA, Washington Mystics +6.5 vs. Minnesota Lynx at Washington. Result: LOSS, final margin -10. Washington did not stay within the cushion. This one missed plainly.
Day's tally: 3 correct, 1 missed.
What the model saw
The MLB pair is where the model spoke with the most conviction. New York carried an 85% figure and Los Angeles an 80% figure, both meaningfully above the coin-flip line, and both resolved as the model projected. Those are the numbers the ledger recorded before the games, and they are the numbers that held.
The two WNBA calls carry no model percentage in the record, so no probability-versus-price edge is claimed on either. They sit as straight number reads against the 6.5 cushion. Chicago's +6.5 was correct by a 3-point final. Washington's +6.5 was not, losing by 10, a six-point miss against the line. There is no way to soften that: the read was wrong on the day, and the ledger states it as a loss.
A 3-1 day is a positive one, but the honest note is that both correct high-confidence figures came from MLB, while the WNBA pair carried no stated edge and returned exactly one of each. The model earned its result where it committed a probability, and the split elsewhere is recorded without spin.
Every line above, the model percentages, the closing numbers and the final margins, is posted on the public, tamper-evident ledger. Read it, check the timestamps, and hold the record to its own claims.
21+. Informational only. 1-800-GAMBLER.